Al-Shamal vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
1º
3
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 23 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 20 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 18 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 17 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 17 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 15 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 12 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 11 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 11 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 8 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
22% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
11.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
ALS
1 - 2
TEL
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
UMM
1 - 1
ALS
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 1
ARA
46%
22%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALS
1 - 0
WAK
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
ALS
3 - 5
RAY
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
AHL
0 - 3
RAY
34%
22%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
AHL
2 - 1
ALS
32%
23%
45%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
AHL
1 - 0
QAT
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
SAD
3 - 0
AHL
59%
19%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SAD
5 - 0
AHL
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |