Al-Nassr vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALS
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
ALN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALN
3 - 1
ALI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALN
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ALW
1 - 0
NAJ
12%
18%
69%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALI
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NAJ
0 - 5
ALA
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
NAJ
51%
23%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
ABH
3 - 2
NAJ
20%
21%
60%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |