Al-Nassr vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ALN
2 - 0
OHO
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALN
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
ALN
6 - 2
ALW
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALR
3 - 1
ALN
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
ANS
1 - 2
ALN
19%
23%
58%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALH
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALQ
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ALW
1 - 1
ALS
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |