Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
5º
24
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 49 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 45 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 3
ALN
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
3 - 2
SAD
23%
26%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AIN
1 - 3
ALN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
AJM
1 - 2
ALN
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 0
HAT
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ittihad Kalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAD
4 - 1
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
WAH
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 3
ALI
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
AIN
25%
22%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 4
AJM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |