Al-Ittihad vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALR
81%
13%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ALS
0 - 4
ALI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALH
3 - 3
ALI
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALF
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALR
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALH
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALN
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |