Al-Ittihad vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
26.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
6º
6º
10
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ANB
0 - 0
ITT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 2
ITT
34%
31%
35%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
ITT
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
1 - 2
AAB
44%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 3
TRI
37%
31%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALH
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 0
AAB
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
ANB
3 - 1
TRI
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ITT
0 - 0
TRI
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |