Crown Prince Cup Quarter-finals

Al-Ettifaq vs Najran analysis

Al-Ettifaq Najran
77 ELO 65
5.4% Tilt -5.2%
578º General ELO ranking 3273º
Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
61.6%
Al-Ettifaq
20.4%
Draw
17.9%
Najran

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
Al-Ettifaq
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
Najran
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al-Ettifaq
-4%
-9%
Najran

ELO progression

Al-Ettifaq
Najran
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2012
HAJ
Hajer FC
0 - 1
Al-Ettifaq
ALI
26%
27%
47%
77 62 15 0
12 Jan. 2012
ALI
Al-Ittihad
0 - 1
Al-Ettifaq
ALI
57%
22%
21%
77 77 0 0
05 Jan. 2012
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
3 - 3
Najran
NAJ
62%
22%
17%
77 68 9 0
29 Dec. 2011
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
3 - 2
Al Qadsiah FC
ALQ
63%
22%
15%
77 68 9 0
20 Dec. 2011
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
2 - 0
Al-Ansar FC
ANS
74%
17%
9%
77 59 18 0

Matches

Najran
Najran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2012
ALF
Al-Faisaly FC
4 - 1
Najran
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
67 70 3 0
11 Jan. 2012
NAJ
Najran
0 - 4
Al-Ahli SFC
ALA
32%
25%
43%
68 77 9 -1
05 Jan. 2012
ALI
Al-Ettifaq
3 - 3
Najran
NAJ
62%
22%
17%
68 77 9 0
30 Dec. 2011
NAJ
Najran
0 - 0
Al-Fateh SC
ALF
45%
25%
30%
67 71 4 +1
25 Dec. 2011
NAJ
Najran
2 - 2
Al Qadsiah FC
ALQ
51%
24%
25%
67 68 1 0
X