Premier League Round 17

Al Ahly SC vs Zamalek analysis

Al Ahly SC Zamalek
78 ELO 76
20.5% Tilt -21.5%
1051º General ELO ranking 975º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.4%
Al Ahly SC
23.2%
Draw
23.4%
Zamalek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
Al Ahly SC
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
Zamalek
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahly SC
+21%
+25%
Zamalek

ELO progression

Al Ahly SC
Zamalek
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahly SC
Al Ahly SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2016
ENP
ENPPI
0 - 2
Al Ahly SC
ALA
45%
28%
27%
77 73 4 0
23 Jan. 2016
ALI
Al Ittihad Alexandria
0 - 1
Al Ahly SC
ALA
38%
32%
30%
77 69 8 0
20 Jan. 2016
ALA
Al Ahly SC
1 - 0
Ismaily
ISM
56%
23%
21%
77 77 0 0
14 Jan. 2016
ELD
El Dakhleya
1 - 1
Al Ahly SC
ALA
39%
30%
31%
77 72 5 0
10 Jan. 2016
ALA
Al Ahly SC
3 - 1
Al Mokawloon
MOK
68%
19%
13%
76 69 7 +1

Matches

Zamalek
Zamalek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2016
ISM
Ismaily
1 - 0
Zamalek
ZAM
41%
27%
32%
77 77 0 0
24 Jan. 2016
ZAM
Zamalek
1 - 1
Smouha SC
SMO
64%
22%
14%
77 70 7 0
20 Jan. 2016
ALM
Al-Masry
0 - 1
Zamalek
ZAM
34%
28%
38%
77 75 2 0
16 Jan. 2016
ZAM
Zamalek
1 - 0
Ittihad El-Shorta
ELS
55%
24%
21%
76 73 3 +1
09 Jan. 2016
ENP
ENPPI
0 - 1
Zamalek
ZAM
42%
26%
32%
76 72 4 0