Al-Ahly vs Smouha SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
ALA
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAM
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAM
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALM
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MAS
0 - 1
SMO
23%
30%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SMO
1 - 1
MIS
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 1
SMO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SMO
1 - 1
ISM
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
SMO
44%
29%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |