Al-Ahly vs PetroJet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
GOU
1 - 2
ALA
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 1
ELD
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EEE
0 - 1
ALA
21%
27%
53%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
SIM
1 - 0
ALA
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 0
HEL
80%
14%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
PetroJet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
GOU
2 - 1
PET
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
ELD
0 - 2
PET
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
PET
1 - 0
EEE
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
HEL
2 - 2
PET
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
PET
1 - 0
WAD
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |