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NPFL. Matchday 26

Akwa United Heartland Owerri
28 ELO 32
17% Tilt -19%
3840º General ELO ranking 3287º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.5%
Akwa United
24.5%
Draw
19%
Heartland Owerri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
Akwa United
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
Heartland Owerri
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Akwa United
+6%
+2%
Heartland Owerri

Basic stats

57
43
POS
13
6
SOT
3
2
COR
3
1
GF
1
3
GC
28
32
ELO
1.7
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Akwa United
Their league position
Heartland Owerri
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
16º
38
20º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Akwa United
50
68
18%
Kano Pillars
49
66
13%
Nasarawa United
48
65
11%
Kwara United
46
65
11%
Rivers United
45
62
10%
Enugu Rangers
42
57
7%
Enyimba
41
61
7%
Lobi Stars
40
55
8%
Plateau United
39
57
8%
Heartland Owerri
10º
38
55
10º
8%
MFM FC
11º
36
49
13º
7%
Dakkada
12º
36
50
12º
8%
Abia Warriors
13º
35
54
11º
7%
Katsina United
14º
31
45
14º
10%
Wikki Tourist
15º
30
44
15º
11%
Jigawa Golden Stars
16º
30
42
16º
11%
Warri Wolves FC
17º
27
39
17º
14%
Ifeanyi Ubah
18º
25
37
18º
17%
Sunshine Stars
19º
24
35
19º
20%
Adamawa United FC
20º
19
29
20º
51%
Expected probabilities
Akwa United
Heartland Owerri
Champion
18% 4%
CAF Champions League
14% 4%
CAF Confederation Cup
12% 5%
Mid-table
56% 80%
Relegation
0% 8%

ELO progression

Heartland Owerri
HEA
Akwa United
AKW
Kano Pillars
KAN
Jigawa Golden Stars
JGS
Adamawa United FC
ADA
Ifeanyi Ubah
GAB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Akwa United
Akwa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO AKW ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
AKW
Akwa United
2 - 1
Kwara United
KWA
45%
27%
28%
356 361 -5 0
27 May. 2021
ABI
Abia Warriors
0 - 0
Akwa United
AKW
47%
27%
26%
356 377 21 0
24 May. 2021
AKW
Akwa United
0 - 0
Enugu Rangers
ENU
41%
28%
31%
356 432 -76 0
16 May. 2021
AST
Dakkada
0 - 2
Akwa United
AKW
47%
27%
26%
356 400 44 0
11 Apr. 2021
JGS
Jigawa Golden Stars
1 - 1
Akwa United
AKW
47%
27%
26%
348 380 32 0

Matches

Heartland Owerri
Heartland Owerri
1%
X%
2%
ELO HEA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2021
ENY
Enyimba
0 - 0
Heartland Owerri
HEA
53%
25%
22%
412 589 177 0
26 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
0 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
46%
27%
27%
412 437 -25 0
23 May. 2021
NAS
Nasarawa United
3 - 1
Heartland Owerri
HEA
46%
27%
28%
412 361 -51 0
16 May. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 0
Katsina United
KAT
47%
27%
26%
412 363 49 0
05 Apr. 2021
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 1
Adamawa United FC
ADA
47%
27%
26%
411 346 65 +2