FC Aktobe vs FC Kyzylzhar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
3º
39
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
AST
1 - 4
FCA
55%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
OKZ
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 1
FCA
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
0 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
SKA
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
OKZ
0 - 1
KYZ
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KYZ
1 - 0
MAQ
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KAI
0 - 1
KYZ
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
YAR
2 - 0
KYZ
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
DMK
1 - 0
KYZ
18%
23%
58%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |