Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
AJA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ONS
0 - 2
AJA
5%
13%
82%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VVV
4 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 2
VVV
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
VVV
1 - 4
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VVV
2 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
VVV
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |