Ajax vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.3%
Win probability
4.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.9%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.9%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
7%
6-0
7.2%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.9%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
3.4%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.4%
1.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
VVV
0 - 3
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
BOS
4 - 0
VVV
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
VVV
1 - 1
HFC
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
UTR
2 - 0
VVV
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
VVV
0 - 1
FEY
14%
17%
70%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |