Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1967 |
TEL
0 - 3
AJA
17%
19%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1967 |
AJA
2 - 0
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
XER
0 - 4
AJA
21%
20%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
AJA
5 - 3
ADO
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1967 |
VVD
2 - 2
NEC
48%
24%
29%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1967 |
SPA
3 - 0
VVD
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
TWE
7 - 4
VVD
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
VVD
0 - 1
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
ELI
0 - 2
VVD
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |