Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
AND
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 3
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
AND
3 - 3
VIT
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |