Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
UTR
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
APO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 1
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 1
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
FEY
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |