Eredivisie Round 4

Ajax vs Vitesse analysis

Ajax Vitesse
89 ELO 68
11% Tilt 28.9%
107º General ELO ranking 1009º
Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
79.3%
Ajax
13.9%
Draw
6.8%
Vitesse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
Ajax
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
Vitesse
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+1%
+1%
Vitesse

ELO progression

Ajax
Vitesse
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2011
VVV
VVV Venlo
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
70%
88 61 27 0
14 Aug. 2011
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
74%
16%
10%
88 75 13 0
07 Aug. 2011
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 4
Ajax
AJA
11%
18%
71%
88 67 21 0
30 Jul. 2011
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
Ajax
AJA
34%
23%
43%
89 88 1 -1
20 Jul. 2011
BIF
Brøndby IF
0 - 3
Ajax
AJA
27%
24%
49%
89 83 6 0

Matches

Vitesse
Vitesse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2011
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
34%
28%
38%
68 78 10 0
13 Aug. 2011
VIT
Vitesse
4 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
60%
22%
19%
67 61 6 +1
07 Aug. 2011
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
64%
21%
16%
67 74 7 0
15 May. 2011
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 4
Excelsior
EXC
54%
24%
22%
68 65 3 -1
01 May. 2011
PSV
PSV
2 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
77%
15%
8%
69 88 19 -1