Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
4 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
ADO
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VOL
0 - 0
VIT
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
ZWO
1 - 1
VIT
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 2
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 2
RBC
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |