Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 3
RBC
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
PSV
45%
23%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
BOS
4 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 0
RJC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
FEY
3 - 2
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |