Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
6 - 1
DUK
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 2
FEY
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
BVO
0 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
MVV
2 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
BMA
1 - 2
VIT
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 0
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
VIT
6 - 2
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 6
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |