Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MVV
1 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 0
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 0
VVV
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UTR
1 - 4
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 1
VVV
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
PSV
5 - 0
VIT
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 0
GAE
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 4
AZA
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |