Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
HFC
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 1
TWE
25%
25%
51%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
PSV
4 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1972 |
AJA
12 - 1
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 3
NEC
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |