Ajax vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
ARS
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
16%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 1
VCF
40%
27%
34%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
VCF
0 - 3
ROM
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
RAY
0 - 4
VCF
29%
28%
43%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
ROM
0 - 1
VCF
43%
26%
31%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |