Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EIN
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1975 |
LSO
2 - 1
AJA
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 1
LSO
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 3
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
TEL
1 - 2
TWE
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
EIN
0 - 0
TEL
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
TEL
4 - 0
MVV
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
NEC
3 - 1
TEL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |