Ajax vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
IND
83%
10%
7%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
FEY
2 - 0
AJA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 1
TEL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
GRO
0 - 2
TEL
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
TEL
0 - 1
FEY
13%
23%
65%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
NEC
2 - 0
TEL
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |