Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 4
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
WIL
4 - 2
RJC
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FEY
1 - 1
RJC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 3
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |