Eredivisie round 30

Ajax vs PSV analysis

Ajax PSV
89 ELO 88
41.4% Tilt 21.7%
102º General ELO ranking 99º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.6%
Ajax
17.2%
Draw
16.2%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16.2%
Win probability
PSV
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+13%
PSV

ELO progression

Ajax
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 1984
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
Ajax
AJA
33%
25%
43%
88 85 3 0
08 Apr. 1984
AJA
Ajax
3 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
90%
7%
3%
88 72 16 0
01 Apr. 1984
AJA
Ajax
5 - 2
Den Bosch
BOS
93%
5%
2%
88 70 18 0
25 Mar. 1984
GRO
Groningen
1 - 5
Ajax
AJA
27%
23%
51%
88 75 13 0
18 Mar. 1984
AJA
Ajax
0 - 3
HFC Haarlem
HFC
90%
7%
3%
88 74 14 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 1984
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Groningen
GRO
75%
16%
10%
88 76 12 0
07 Apr. 1984
HFC
HFC Haarlem
0 - 0
PSV
PSV
25%
24%
52%
88 76 12 0
31 Mar. 1984
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Feyenoord
FEY
51%
23%
26%
88 88 0 0
24 Mar. 1984
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
15%
20%
65%
88 66 22 0
17 Mar. 1984
PSV
PSV
5 - 0
Helmond Sport
HEL
90%
7%
3%
88 56 32 0