Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SIT
1 - 1
AJA
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 2
DWS
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
SPA
3 - 0
PSV
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
PSV
1 - 1
XER
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
TWE
1 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |