Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
AJA
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 2
TEL
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SIT
2 - 1
AJA
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 4
HER
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 2
TEL
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
SIT
2 - 5
PSV
21%
20%
59%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 1
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
NAC
1 - 0
PSV
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
PSV
3 - 2
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |