Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 3
DZG
59%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
AJA
6 - 1
VVV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
KOZ
1 - 2
AJA
1%
7%
92%
|
89 | 40 | 49 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |