Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
RKC
2 - 5
AJA
2%
9%
89%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
RJC
2 - 0
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
IKS
2 - 5
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
EVV
0 - 2
NEC
14%
19%
67%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 0
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |