Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
INT
42%
23%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
LYO
0 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
RKC
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
NEC
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 3
NEC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |