Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
HFC
0 - 1
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
HFC
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
MVV
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
VVV
1 - 3
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 1
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
4 - 1
VIT
44%
29%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 0
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
NEC
0 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
ZWO
2 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |