Ajax vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
4 - 0
GLA
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GLA
0 - 3
NAP
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPE
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 1
LIV
18%
21%
60%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |