Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
UTR
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
5 - 0
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
FEY
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |