Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EIN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 1
AJA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 0
HFC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
ADO
4 - 0
NAC
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
24%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 0
AZA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |