Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
GAE
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 4
AJA
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
NAC
5 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
GRO
0 - 1
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
NEC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |