Ajax vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
ADO
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 3
VOL
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
26%
20%
54%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
58%
21%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
FOR
3 - 1
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
NAC
3 - 3
PSV
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
WIL
2 - 3
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 1
DVO
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |