Ajax vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
12.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 0
AJA
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
AJA
9 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
2 - 0
GEN
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 0
AJA
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ACM
24%
27%
50%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |