Champions League . Last 16
Global 7-3
Ajax vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 8
AJA
26%
24%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
AJA
4 - 2
TEL
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
AJA
5 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
GAE
2 - 3
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVD
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
WBA
2 - 1
LIV
53%
23%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
5 - 0
LEE
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
NEW
0 - 2
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |