Ajax vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 2
AJA
78%
13%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AND
0 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 1
PAD
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
AJA
6 - 0
KON
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 3
BET
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
FLE
2 - 1
LEE
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 1
LEE
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 3
LEE
4%
12%
84%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LEE
3 - 1
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |