Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BVO
2 - 4
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
71%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
FCD
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
URK
0 - 4
AJA
6%
14%
79%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
GAE
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAE
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ZWO
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 2
BVO
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
SCH
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |