Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ADO
1 - 4
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
AJA
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
3 - 2
AZA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 1
TEL
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |