Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 0
AJA
23%
24%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
FEY
2 - 3
AJA
52%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 2
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 4
RKC
30%
25%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
ADO
2 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 1
RBC
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |