Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
DZG
0 - 0
AJA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
5 - 1
AZA
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
RJC
0 - 2
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GRA
2 - 1
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
FEY
5 - 0
GRA
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
GRA
2 - 2
RKC
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
MVV
1 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
RJC
1 - 2
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |