Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AJA
1 - 1
QUI
87%
10%
4%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 3
AJA
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
AJA
11%
17%
71%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
44%
23%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVB
33%
22%
45%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 3
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 2
GAE
28%
23%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
4 - 2
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
GAE
2 - 2
LOM
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |