Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 2
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
MVV
0 - 1
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVD
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
GAE
3 - 0
ELI
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
FEY
0 - 0
GAE
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 0
TWE
39%
23%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
TEL
1 - 2
GAE
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |