Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FEY
9 - 4
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
AJA
5 - 0
PSV
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
AJA
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
VVD
2 - 2
AJA
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
AJA
0 - 2
TEL
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
0 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SIT
2 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
2 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
NAC
0 - 1
FOR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
FOR
3 - 1
SPA
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |