Ajax vs Fortuna 54 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 5
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
AJA
6 - 1
ELI
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 3
AJA
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 5
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
FEY
1 - 1
FOR
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 3
VVV
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
RAP
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FOR
4 - 1
MVV
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |